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Last post 4 years ago by opelmanta1900. 49 replies replies.
The China situation...
opelmanta1900 Offline
#1 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
I'm an idiot when it comes to this stuff... I used to buy a lot of bulk stuff from China... Any time I was buying something on Amazon I'd go and check the Chinese equivalent...

Sometimes it was cheaper because it was a knock off, but not always... Sometimes it was just cheaper, often times much cheaper...

Then I did some light thinking and realized, these Chinese goods are cheaper mostly for 2 reasons:

1. Inhumane treatment of employees (low pay, being forced to live at work, child labor).

2. No expensive environmental regulations.


So I stopped buying from China... Kinda seems like if you do business with them, you're fighting against the American system of liveable wages and protections for the planet...

Seems like if someone levied some sort of tax that made Chinese products roughly the same price as goods from countries that don't treat their workers like government owned slaves, it would encourage people from places like America to buy from places like America... Or to manufacture in America, recognizing that the expensive environmental regulations that make our prices non competitive with communist countries are there for the protections of generations to come...

Ok now someone tell me why I'm wrong cuz I know it's more complicated than what I've made it out to be...
dstieger Offline
#2 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
So, I guess what China needs is unions and significant government regulation?

JK...

You might want to add
3. Lower development costs, since its cheaper to steal ideas than R&D them
4. Ignore intellectual copyrights and patents instead of paying to use them


opelmanta1900 Offline
#3 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
If you wanna get murdered in China, my guess is that attempting to start a workers union is amongst the quickest ways...

But as much as I hate our unions, They were good at one time, and they could be good for China for a time...
Krazeehorse Offline
#4 Posted:
Joined: 04-09-2010
Posts: 1,958
I think the tariff situation will be short term pain for long term gain. It would work more quickly if we got our allies to adopt similar policies. The Chinese are without a doubt the United States' biggest threat, both economically and militarily. No need to feed the beast.
dstieger Offline
#5 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
A bit ironic in that many (most?) people would associate unions with socialism or even communism
Krazeehorse Offline
#6 Posted:
Joined: 04-09-2010
Posts: 1,958
One key difference is that American unions would strike against private entities, not the government. Plus if it got really rough the union people had guns.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#7 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
Again, self proclaimed idiot on these things, but it seems to me that unions in America once did what the government wouldn't...

But now the government has and enforces laws that protect worker safety, worker treatment, and even guarantees them a minimum pay...

Unions lost their relevancy, but not their thirst for money...
dstieger Offline
#8 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
Krazeehorse wrote:
I think the tariff situation will be short term pain for long term gain. It would work more quickly if we got our allies to adopt similar policies. The Chinese are without a doubt the United States' biggest threat, both economically and militarily. No need to feed the beast.



I agree that they are a big threat...but I'm uncertain as to what that means.
I guess the US is going to figure that out if we want to change that.
Do we see a risk of a hot war in the future? If so, do we want to avoid it? Do we avoid it through diplomacy and statesmanship or military deterrence?
What does it mean for them to be an economic threat? Is China/US economic relationship a zero sum gain?
I'm ok with them succeeding economically, if they play by rules that we agree are 'fair'.

So....I'm also an idiot on the topic, but I think that if China were to
-Stop (and reverse?) their South China Sea island building and occupying
-Respect and enforce intellectual property rights
-Reduce (not necessarily remove) barriers to US commercial participation, especially tech
-Stop manipulating the value of their currency...or at least not manipulate it any more than we do
-Get a bit more like us with regards to freedoms and human rights

If they would just be more like us.....
:)
Krazeehorse Offline
#9 Posted:
Joined: 04-09-2010
Posts: 1,958
I agree with both #7 and #8. I think one risk economically is that American companies may feel their hands are forced in order to compete with the Chinese in the world market. If the Chinese don't pay their workers and don't show any regard to environmental concerns then they definitely have lower production costs than a similar product made in the US. A buyer in BFE is gonna go with the cheap one IF quality isn't an issue.
DrafterX Offline
#10 Posted:
Joined: 10-18-2005
Posts: 98,535
I heard TW took some Chinese Viagra and it made it fall off... Mellow
dstieger Offline
#11 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
Population control?
teedubbya Offline
#12 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
It's just like any other tax intended to influence behavior. Gas tax, slurpee tax etc. You are implementing a tax to get someone to act like you want them to or pay for not doing so.


Then it comes down to which behavioral taxes you support and which you do not. And in this case the retaliatory tax the Chinese are imposing on their folks to change behavior in the other direction


Despite what grand master T says, the "tarrifs" we implemented on Chinese goods are paid by Americans and do not bring in money from China. They should be called increased taxes on American citizens choosing to buy Chinese products. But that doesn't sound very low taxy or less governmenty.


I actually think it's not a bad idea if we stick to it for the long haul and it's not just a short term thing for political purposes. We do need to level the playing field. My only issue is the constant lying about what it really is.

Then again I have no issue with gas taxes, tobacco taxes etc. to a degree.

It's all about which ox you are ok with getting gored. Or something like that.
teedubbya Offline
#13 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
DrafterX wrote:
I heard TW took some Chinese Viagra and it made it fall off... Mellow



I got peronies from it and it became an ingrown hair. We had to pluck it.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#14 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
teedubbya wrote:



Despite what grand master T says, the "tarrifs" we implemented on Chinese goods are paid by Americans and do not bring in money from China. They should be called increased taxes on American citizens choosing to buy Chinese products. But that doesn't sound very low taxy or less governmenty.


Only paid by Americans if they continue purchasing goods produced in China - goods produced unethically and at the cost of our planet and our own economy...

If it's something China manufactures and we don't, it's because China undercut our manufacturing costs through unethical means...
delta1 Offline
#15 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
it's more complicated, but I'm not very knowledgeable about int'nl trade either....China's economy is intertwined with the US economy...there are thousands of US companies with factories or production plants in China, to exploit cheap labor...if Trump is serious about improving trade with China, he would develop economic policies to incentivize American companies to return home, or to punish them for moving off-shore...

http://www.jiesworld.com/international_corporations_in_china.htm

that's not going to happen...an example is Harley Davidson, who said they would stay while Trump was campaigning, then left anyway for greener pastures...


imposing tariffs only raises the costs for American consumers, and marginally affects demand for Chinese goods, which can be sold elsewhere...so Trump should band together with all the other nations that are markets for Chinese goods, to work out a trade agreement...oh shucks, he backed out of TPP...


so , Trump's America First nationalism may be a policy objective that sounds good, and appeals to a small segment of Americans who want to make America great again by going it alone, but ignores the globalization that is rapidly becoming the standard world economic practice, and America should try to reassert and maintain leadership towards that effort, by partnering with a greater number of countries with diverse markets and resources to increase our bargaining position, which will benefit us more...
opelmanta1900 Offline
#16 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
Al, the "globalization that is rapidly becoming the standard economic practice" that you speak of is exactly what we need to get away from...

If a Chinese made product is manufactured in an environmentally safe way and the producers of that good are paid decent, livable wages, then there's no way that product is financially worth shipping to America...

What makes that product valuable to Americans is low manufacturing cost, which is achieved through worker exploitation and environmental damage...
teedubbya Offline
#17 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
opelmanta1900 wrote:
Only paid by Americans if they continue purchasing goods produced in China - goods produced unethically and at the cost of our planet and our own economy...

If it's something China manufactures and we don't, it's because China undercut our manufacturing costs through unethical means...



No argument here. Still a tax designed to address a behavior someone decided is undesirable just like smoking, fossil fuels and big gulps/ junk food. It's always good to be the decider.


But unlike those others there is another decider on the other side that can impose their own on their own people.
delta1 Offline
#18 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
opelmanta1900 wrote:
Al, the "globalization that is rapidly becoming the standard economic practice" that you speak of is exactly what we need to get away from...

If a Chinese made product is manufactured in an environmentally safe way and the producers of that good are paid decent, livable wages, then there's no way that product is financially worth shipping to America...

What makes that product valuable to Americans is low manufacturing cost, which is achieved through worker exploitation and environmental damage...



we can influence how other producers operate more effectively by partnering and becoming bigger than them...by isolating ourselves and insisting they follow our rules is like a little monkey telling the gorilla to shape up or else...we are not able to close off the other markets to China, without partnership agreements (globalization)...we do not have enough materiel to go it alone, and the American consumer will not tolerate paying multiple times the cost of goods...


by partnering with more countries who share our values, we can try to get China to budge in how they pay their workers and how they regulate their industries...it worked with the Mexican economy, though they were a midget compared to China
dstieger Offline
#19 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
picking nits, but you've mentioned gas tax a couple times, tw and I don't think that is in the same category...at least not on the fed level

I see it as a means to pay for transportation costs moreso than to change behavior -- if it were more of a sin tax, it would have gone up more than once in the past 25 years to something far greater than the .18 or whatever it is now.
Hopefully, some of that tax also goes to the cost of regulating it...epa, weights and measures, etc
opelmanta1900 Offline
#20 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
Al, No amount of "partnering" with a communistic government will ever achieve livable wages for the people...
dstieger Offline
#21 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
I'm going out on a limb here and suggesting that Trump may not give a flying fluck how China 'treats its workers'
delta1 Offline
#22 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
opelmanta1900 wrote:
Al, No amount of "partnering" with a communistic government will ever achieve livable wages for the people...



we don't have to partner with China, but we do have to partner with a lot of others to make a difference...maybe to move American plants out of China and into other markets and to avoid buying Chinese products...we can't make them do much on our own...
opelmanta1900 Offline
#23 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
dstieger wrote:
I'm going out on a limb here and suggesting that Trump may not give a flying fluck how China 'treats its workers'

"Donald trump doesn't care about Chinese people." - Kanye West
opelmanta1900 Offline
#24 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
delta1 wrote:
we don't have to partner with China, but we do have to partner with a lot of others to make a difference...maybe to move American plants out of China and into other markets and to avoid buying Chinese products...we can't make them do much on our own...

If Americans flat out stop buying from China, wouldn't China produce less? Wouldn't that result in less environmental pollution? And less worker exploitation? Sounds like #hopeandchange to me...
teedubbya Offline
#25 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
dstieger wrote:
picking nits, but you've mentioned gas tax a couple times, tw and I don't think that is in the same category...at least not on the fed level

I see it as a means to pay for transportation costs moreso than to change behavior -- if it were more of a sin tax, it would have gone up more than once in the past 25 years to something far greater than the .18 or whatever it is now.
Hopefully, some of that tax also goes to the cost of regulating it...epa, weights and measures, etc




There are proponents of using that gas tax as a sin tax at the fed level that have become more and more vocal as of late, and using the coin for green stuff as well as discouraging gas use. Perhaps it has not taken hold at the fed level yet (due to the fossil fuel industry's power), but it certainly has happened at the state level (I'm looking at you Cali). To me it is still a sin tax it's just to the degree it is leveraged. It's all about the decider.

I get what you are saying though, and take your point.

I'm not sure what the Chinese import tax level has been historically or what it was used for. It just happens to be being leveraged right now.
teedubbya Offline
#26 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
We need the Chinese market, to lose it would be huge. We also need to level the playing field. It's a tricky balance. I'm willing to see where Grandmaster T's tactics take us. Hopefully its a long view. If so bravo. If not big burning bag of poo.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#27 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
"Need" as in need a place where we can have goods produced for cheap at the cost of the environment and the quality of life for millions? Why do we need that?
frankj1 Offline
#28 Posted:
Joined: 02-08-2007
Posts: 44,215
opelmanta1900 wrote:
If Americans flat out stop buying from China, wouldn't China produce less? Wouldn't that result in less environmental pollution? And less worker exploitation? Sounds like #hopeandchange to me...

I have not stepped into a Walmart for years. I decided they were strictly a retail outlet for China bent on destroying retail competition for miles around each store, and also creating a gigantic class of working poor without enough hours to qualify for benefits. This cost to the rest of us could even equal or surpass what the perceived/imagined savings were on product purchases from Walmart...They are Bad Americans to me.

And though I do end up purchasing products made in China anyway, I'm aware enough to have cut into that amount...yet I don't think I've been noticed by them yet.

Just need to get 299,999,999 other Americans to follow my lead.
delta1 Offline
#29 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
opelmanta1900 wrote:
If Americans flat out stop buying from China, wouldn't China produce less? Wouldn't that result in less environmental pollution? And less worker exploitation? Sounds like #hopeandchange to me...




frankj1 wrote:
I have not stepped into a Walmart for years. I decided they were strictly a retail outlet for China bent on destroying retail competition for miles around each store, and also creating a gigantic class of working poor without enough hours to qualify for benefits. This cost to the rest of us could even equal or surpass what the perceived/imagined savings were on product purchases from Walmart...They are Bad Americans to me.

And though I do end up purchasing products made in China anyway, I'm aware enough to have cut into that amount...yet I don't think I've been noticed by them yet.

Just need to get 299,999,999 other Americans to follow my lead.



you have to open the link in #15 above....that shows the numbers of US corporations with manufacturing and production plants in China. It's a big deal...... they are there because they make a much better profit and their shareholders who are American voters/American consumers like it that way...we'll have to convince them all to come home or go elsewhere because they are helping China's economy (buying resources and "employing" Chinese workers while making a profit)...

then, if we Americans can band together with Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Japan, Korea, Viet Nam, the European Union, Australia, Scandinavia and boycott Chinese goods until they change their business practices, AND we convince all Americans to stop buying Chinese goods...we can squeeze China's markets and force them to the table...will we convince them to be more democratic and pay their people a living wage?

No, so our choice is to impose tariffs on China, making Americans who buy goods from China pay more for them, while putting many key American companies in a precarious position...what POTUS wants to do that? Trump
teedubbya Offline
#30 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
Opel we need THEIR market. Ie for them to buy from us. If they bought zero from us and we bought zero from them mathematically we lose over the long haul.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#31 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
Why are they buying anything from us? American made products are crap...
MACS Offline
#32 Posted:
Joined: 02-26-2004
Posts: 79,747
So we do all the R&D, then China steals our ideas, and through communism, forced labor and little to no environmental regulations... makes it cheaper.

Yeah. That seems fair to me.
teedubbya Offline
#33 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
Opel talk to a soybean farmer or pork producer among many other things.

We need their market. And they need ours. Who needs whose more is the game of chicken.

As I said we need to level the playing field. If trump is taking the long term and dies so bravo. If not, poo bag.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#34 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
I pooed in a bag once... Stopped people from stealing my sack lunch...
victor809 Offline
#35 Posted:
Joined: 10-14-2011
Posts: 23,866
Opel... My company sells to China.
We also have American companies we buy from to sell to our partner company in China.

I barely care about the tariff on our purchased goods from China... That's just consumer level costs. I don't care if my brand new TV costs 25% more, I don't buy stuff enough for that to be an issue.

But the retaliatory tariffs from China are hitting US businesses.

They are an enormous and very fast growing market. Isolating our businesses from it hurts us more than it hurts them.

frankj1 Offline
#36 Posted:
Joined: 02-08-2007
Posts: 44,215
teedubbya wrote:
Opel talk to a soybean farmer or pork producer among many other things.

We need their market. And they need ours. Who needs whose more is the game of chicken.

As I said we need to level the playing field. If trump is taking the long term and dies so bravo. If not, poo bag.

pork guys in Iowa are getting destroyed.
I'm having trouble accepting that Trump has a long term view. He seems more like an instant gratification person...
frankj1 Offline
#37 Posted:
Joined: 02-08-2007
Posts: 44,215
victor809 wrote:
Opel... My company sells to China.
We also have American companies we buy from to sell to our partner company in China.

I barely care about the tariff on our purchased goods from China... That's just consumer level costs. I don't care if my brand new TV costs 25% more, I don't buy stuff enough for that to be an issue.

But the retaliatory tariffs from China are hitting US businesses.

They are an enormous and very fast growing market. Isolating our businesses from it hurts us more than it hurts them.


yes. China has a vast potential for consumerism, as do the African and some Asian countries that they influence and in which they have made deep inroads while we snoozed.
Abrignac Online
#38 Posted:
Joined: 02-24-2012
Posts: 17,263
In the past couple of years, I’ve bought about $30,000 worth of assorted hand and power tools. Many tools which were manufactured in US 30 years ago and were of high quality. In the ensuing years these once high quality tool brands are now manufactured in China and aren’t with a chit. When I was about 15-16 I bought a 20’ Stanley tape measure. Though lost over time, it never failed me after at 5 or so years. Now the exact same looking tape measure has been outsourced to China. They’re good for maybe 3-4 months before I toss them away broke and replace them. I’ve had brand name pry bars bend when using them. The wheel which controls the angle on my $400 Dewalt portable table saw is plastic and broke with 6 months of light usage. I’ve had to replace my cordless Dewalt drill twice in the last year. Both times the hand chuck stripped out. Thirty years about Dewalt was made in the US. Now they’re made in China. I have to replace drill bits all the time because the break way to easily.

**** China, I’d gladly pay double for tools if they functioned as designed for 5 years.
teedubbya Offline
#39 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
I agree with you which is why I avoid anything with moving parts from harbor freight. But it’s crept in to some once decent brands too.

That’s a whole other issue though. You certainly can pay double to get the quality you want. Import taxes will only make the cheaply made ones more expensive and the retaliatory taxes will have their own impact.

In your case competition should take care of the quality issue right? Isn’t that the answer to everything else? Folks will buy the quality level they want. These taxes won't make quality cheaper.

And tools are not the only Chinese import. What did you type your post on?

Again if these taxes are a long view to level the playing field beautiful. If trump can out long view the Chinese great. I don’t have faith in him but for some reason he’s earned it with many of you. At one time he was just not Hillary.

My guess is there will be a pretend victory of the Chinese backing down when they didn’t and the ensuing circle jerk regardless of the facts on the ground. That’s his skill, that’s the pattern. Some folks simply like his ties and steaks regardless of quality. (Both of which likely from China and available at harbor freight under a different brand name and price point).

Kidding aside I hope he actually accomplishes something here. I just am a doubting Thomas at this point. Hope I’m wrong. It doesn’t matter though he and his followers will declare victory either way.
gummy jones Offline
#40 Posted:
Joined: 07-06-2015
Posts: 7,969
china just doesnt buy enough of our goods to win the "trade war" and they dare not make any plays that will jeopardize their market share because other countries are making similar junk at similar costs

many big companies have already slowly left china for other asian countries that are less likely to have government sanctioning of copyright infringement

look at the textile industry - other than trump branded suits - very few clothes are made there anymore

we need a north american and european trade deal asap

the rest will solve itself
teedubbya Offline
#41 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
They have perhaps the largest emerging market and to lose it would be a disaster. Agriculture alone is worth keeping their market open for us. Others will fill the void.

That’s not to say we shouldn’t do anything, it’s just to say discount their markets at your own peril. Be thoughtful not ham handed.

I’m also not sure the EU is willing to play ball on Trumps terms at the moment.
teedubbya Offline
#42 Posted:
Joined: 08-14-2003
Posts: 95,637
^ another reason it’s not a bad idea to even the playing field now rather than later.
delta1 Offline
#43 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
picking up on abrignac's observations about tools/machinery products:


Solid once great American tool and machinery corporations with manufacturing and production plants in China: Black and Decker, Briggs and Stratton, Caterpiller, Craftsman Tools, Cummins, DeWalt, Fisher Scientific, John Deere, Home Depot, Lowes, Stanley, Toro, True Value, Grainger...


are we making it easy for China to steal our trade secrets, patents, and production methods?
dstieger Offline
#44 Posted:
Joined: 06-22-2007
Posts: 10,889
if only we had access to super cheap labor that we could avoid paying minimum wages and payroll taxes on....lemme think on this...there might be a way
delta1 Offline
#45 Posted:
Joined: 11-23-2011
Posts: 28,778
you mean over-turn the outcome of the Civil War?
victor809 Offline
#46 Posted:
Joined: 10-14-2011
Posts: 23,866
I'm amazed that people think the impact of a trade war is on the goods coming in.

That's simply not right.
Abrignac Online
#47 Posted:
Joined: 02-24-2012
Posts: 17,263
delta1 wrote:
picking up on abrignac's observations about tools/machinery products:


Solid once great American tool and machinery corporations with manufacturing and production plants in China: Black and Decker, Briggs and Stratton, Caterpiller, Craftsman Tools, Cummins, DeWalt, Fisher Scientific, John Deere, Home Depot, Lowes, Stanley, Toro, True Value, Grainger...


are we making it easy for China to steal our trade secrets, patents, and production methods?


Not making easy for them. All they have to do is determine what intellectual property they want to bring to marke, take it apart and analyze it components and build appropriate for, etc to make the parts, assemble the patented parts and ship it to harbor freight or some other willing distributers. For products that can’t be disassembled they can simply obtain a copy of the patent form the patent office. Same result.
Abrignac Online
#48 Posted:
Joined: 02-24-2012
Posts: 17,263
I’m wondering though if there isn’t a better way to shut down theft of intellectual property. Why don’t companies simply use the justice department to shut down the importation of said products much like say Gucci handbags and criminally charge distributers Not, that it would be a 💯 % solution but, I’m sure it would go a long way to l leveling the playing field.
opelmanta1900 Offline
#49 Posted:
Joined: 01-10-2012
Posts: 13,954
I'll admit I started this thread as an attempt to get some steam behind a petition to have victors citizenship revoked while he's out of the country - possibly tried for treason - but it's gotten way off track...
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