dstieger wrote:Reading the poll data, something doesn't sit right with me....
I would have expected a larger disparity between these two questions:
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Do you favor or oppose providing a legal way for illegal immigrants already in the United States
to become U.S. citizens? -- 62% Favor
As you may know, President Obama announced in 2012 that illegal immigrants 30 years old or
younger who were brought to the United States as children could obtain work permits if they meet
certain criteria and do not have a criminal record. Do you favor, oppose or neither favor nor
oppose this policy? -- 63% Favor
http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/AP-GfK-January-2013-Topline-FINAL_IMMIGRATION.pdf
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I just figured that it would be easier for Joe American to get behind 'letting the children stay', than 'let 'em all be citizens'.
I suspect that since so much discussion in past year has been about the Dream Act, that perhaps the average subconscious frames the first question as support of Dream Act specifically - more so than the broad brush question actually asked.
This is about changing social attitude. I don't think it matters exactly how the question is phrased and exactly how mathematically accurate the questions asked were, so long as the same question was asked each year for comparison. That is the best way to compare "apples to apples" of the public's' mind.
To me, this is really about changing attitudes over time- which may come from more thought and public/private and political discussion as well as hearing about "The Dream Act".
The real kicker here will be the change in Republican attitude. Romney lost, in part becaause Republicans seem to be out of tough with the hispanic vote. They are going to do an "about face" as quickly as they can in time for the next election cycle.