chiefburg wrote:Here's a few....there are tons put there.
Thank you Chief... I will attempt to address each one individually. However, on a global basis, when I said "Research" I meant actual research paper, from a peer reviewed journal (and please, don't use the "but there's an anti-creationism conspiracy and no research would be accepted!" If it's simply correct math, it would stand on its own).
Quote:
http://www.answersingenesis.org/articles/aid/v7/n1/applying-probabilities-to-evolution
Of all your links, this was the most cogent and interesting. He relies a bit on this "Borel's Law" which is an interesting thought experiment, but not actually real. However, to address the author's point, which was that there is a very low probability of forming a simple protein chain from nothing... he's right. There IS a very low probability. But he's neglecting a few things: 1 - Molecular interaction occurs at a very high rate (ie, throw a lot of molecules in proximity to each other, then there are a huge number of interactions occurring in a short time; 2 - we have no concept of molarity of the solutions, but when we talk about things at the molecular level, we're talking HUGE numbers. 1 mole of salt (NaCl) is 58 grams... not much, right? But 1 Mole is 10^23 molecules of the stuff. It makes probability much higher when you have the possibility of so many interactions. 3 - None of us (including the author) have any idea of the environment at the time, and whether it would aid or hinder molecular interactions... kind of makes the entire equation moot.
Quote:
http://www.math.utep.edu/Faculty/sewell/articles/mathint.html
This isn't a research article, it's a review of someone elses work... and I don't think it's very well written. They don't actually provide any proof of something being impossible, given a time constraint... and their second point they actually refute themselves, but then decide to ignore their refutation. Their claim that the fossil record only shows discrete jumps is false, unless you want to define different stages of hominid "Discrete"... given the conditions required to even get a fossil, we're doing pretty good in that regard. There's nothing new added here.
Quote:
http://www.csicop.org/specialarticles/show/can_probability_theory_be_used_to_refute_evolution_part_one/
This article actually refutes your first article. I'm not sure why you included it, or if you even read it. The article ends with the statement:
"Could we use this strategy to revive our probabilistic critique of evolution? Many proponents of Intelligent Design believe that we can. In the second part of this essay, I will show why they are wrong."
Quote:
http://bjphill.hubpages.com/hub/Evolution-or-creation-A-look-at-probability
This article goes back to the first idea, that our chances of first life forms forming are very small.... the non-scientific estimation (by Carl Sagan, but still not scientifically estimated) was 1*10^340,000,000 . They think this is impossible. Again, when 50g of salt (0.11 lb) is 10^23 molecules... and we have an entire planet's worth of material to work with... (air molecules, oceans of water molecules... ) your probability becomes completely different. Is it hard still?? hell yes... is it improbable? hell yes... but is it going to happen eventually? yes. We don't even need to confine ourselves to this planet. Given a universe worth of matter, and that these interactions occur everywhere at all times, is it going to eventually turn into a simple life-form? Yes.
Quote:
http://www.evolutionnews.org/2006/07/mathematicians_and_evolution002387.html
This last one is simply a bunch of mathematicians saying their dissatisfied with the probability. Again, no hard numbers are used.