My 2 cents.
I’d consider anything that is a net positive on the environment as long as its cost of ownership is within reason.
Like MACS I don’t believe EV’s are ready for prime time simply because the infrastructure needed to support a switch from petro to electric isn’t in place nor is there any indication that it will be anytime soon. In fact, I think most automakers are beginning to rethink the long term viability of EV’s. That in of itself is probably delaying the massive infrastructure investments needed for long term EV viability.
Abrignac wrote:
I agree that if next Tuesday morning all of the cars in the 48 states were EV's it would not work for infrastructure reasons. But we are talking decades not days.
As to the future; let's go with hotly contested year of 2035, a bit less than 12 years, when some states might start mandates on car sales.
The average person owns a car about 8 years. My guess would be that by 2035 well less than half of the US cars are EVs. Sound fair? And then, even with universal mandates (that no one is proposing) the EV's population would only grow by about 12-13% per year. So maybe by 2045 we have like 80-90% EVs?
10-20 years is a long time in terms of infrastructure. In 1990 not even 1% of people had cell phones - and service sucked. By 2000 about 28%, and by 2010 over 80% - with decent service.
Infrastructure for home owners is already there and takes little to make work. Charging stations, well they sure built a lot of them in the last 5 years. Like 160,000. So it's kind of 1992 in cell phone terms.
Of course, Americans may never embrace EVs. And they don't even need a good reason. We tend to drive what we want and like, not what makes the most sense. Just look at all the BMW's on the road....
So the big question is how much people will like them, assuming they actually look at them. And right now - most don't wanna look.
