Kidding. I think the article is spot on.

David

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-comic-strip-tour-of-the-wild-world-of-pandemic-modeling/ 

This is a fun cartoon about modeling the disease. It brings up the cruise ship as a good isolated environment in which they did sufficient testing.

Looks like maybe (depending on how the cruise ship model matches the real world) we could be at the top end undercounting the infected by 50%. So in that case double the denominator. But we don't have any handle on the numerator either... we're undercounting the dead, because we don't have the tests or the manpower to test anyone who doesn't die of it in the hospital.

WHAT!? The zombie apocalypse? I haven't bought my AR-15 yet!

So you're saying there's a chance?

David

Mmm. Fried knishes.

It relies on confirmed cases and year to date the educated opinion is that America has far more unconfirmed (hell, untested) cases. Due to asymptomatic, or minor symptoms, or being told to stay home by the hospital until it gets bad.

It's unfortunate, but many people have already had this virus and don't know it. And I'm not a medical expert but I don't think we will know anything unless we come up with an antibody test.

We could be at 80% and have real herd immunity, yet if we don't know it we'll continue this charade to feel good about ourselves.

I heard there's already a vaccine for the COVID-19 virus, but they're holding it back until they are able to add the autism trigger.

we don't have a real idea of the numbers of infected people, the numbers of deaths caused by the virus, or the number of re-infected...

if the idea is to save lives, then we should maintain mitigation...

if we don't care about people dying, we can "end the charade"

So we agree we should stop publishing bogus death rates.