Exponential Curves. · Page 2

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benja123
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#21

If the crowds at Home Depot are any indication (yeah, I had to go there to finish up my deck removal project) there will be no lull. Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead!

I can't believe back in Feb I wondered whether we should cancel our trip to Jamaica in August, here we are in full contagion mode almost July.

I understand the general weariness, wanting to get back to normal- I'm tired of it too but I'm in the vulnerable category agewise so double masked and held my breath as I negotiated the masses in the hardware section. I like my lungs the way they are.

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#22

I'm just talking about the lull that seems to happen in the virus counts over the weekend. Seems to cycle down (fewer Dr appointments maybe) so counts on a Sat/Sun are lower than mon-fri.
My coworker the other day noted that Thurs are usually the peak for the week... so I'm assuming we'll see about 3 days of lower numbers and then it'll start to go back up again mon.

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#23

And florida screaming into the lead today with almost 9k cases reported. I don't know if Texas has the ability to catch up with that!

benja123
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#24

And florida screaming into the lead today with almost 9k cases reported. I don't know if Texas has the ability to catch up with that!

victor809 wrote:

The day aint over yet!

rfenst
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#25

Pence is on TV reporting that his task force is doing just great and that the increase in cases is just due to increased testing.

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#26

Pence is on TV reporting that his task force is doing just great and that the increase in cases is just due to increased testing.

rfenst wrote:

So apparently florida's testing has not increased over this week. It's like 50k tests a day. But the positive results keep going up.

So Pence is lying. I mean, it's a "sounds good" lie... but it's a lie

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#27

The day aint over yet!

benja123 wrote:

Texas is starting the day with a PITIFUL 331 cases. They better get some more positive results in today if they're even going to remain a contender.

*** note - the site I usually watch is probably delayed from actual state by state reporting. I'm sure Texas knows of more cases today... but I'm not going to go to every damn state page to see what's going on.

Edited by user 6 years ago | Reason: Not specified

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#28

Arizona and North Carolina both up from yesterday's highs... They are looking to take that top spot away!

ZRX1200
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#29

What a surprising tone shift after NY calmed it’s teets.....

DrafterX
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#30

victor809 wrote:

has testing increased in other states..?? Did Pence specifically say testing increased in Florida or was he speaking about the country..?? 😟

benja123
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#31

Gov called for a halt to more opening. This may slow us from reaching #1 status BUT its hot and the river is cool, tubing this weekend will be packed and July 4th festivities around the bend.

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#32

has testing increased in other states..?? Did Pence specifically say testing increased in Florida or was he speaking about the country..?? 😟

DrafterX wrote:

I have no idea, but you could have looked that question up.

Testing has increased. But the increase in positive cases attributed to "increased testing" is not the whole story. If you're testing more people and your % positive decreases, that would suggest you are not seeing an increase in infection rate (I'm sure there's more to it, as testing is not a random sampling, but rather people who believe either due to how they feel, or who they interacted with that they are positive).... However our % positive rate stopped decreasing around Jun 14, and has been increasing since then.

If all else holds equal, including sample makeup, and you just increase your testing, you should see your % positive hold steady.

If all else holds equal, but you are testing from a pool where your sick, or contact traced people get priority and you increase your testing, your % positive should go down.

I'm sure there's more sophistication to the actual calculations.... but our trend right now is significantly upward. Nationwide our % positives on testing went from 4.4% to 6% over the course of less than 2 weeks.

victor809
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#33

Gov called for a halt to more opening. This may slow us from reaching #1 status BUT its hot and the river is cool, tubing this weekend will be packed and July 4th festivities around the bend.

benja123 wrote:

I've got faith in you guys. Don't let these upstarts take your number 1 position!

Texas has risen to the #4 position today with 1,408 cases! Just a hair's breadth away from N Carolina with 1,433! But Louisiana is having a strong day too with 1,310 so far....

Edited by user 6 years ago | Reason: Not specified

benja123
Herf-A-Holic

6 years ago

#34

victor809 wrote:

Fuque it. I'm taking my family down to Home Depot to mingle and then we'll head out to the river this weekend and try out our new 4 seater deluxe floatie with cupholders and built-in cooler, right after hitting the gym and getting my mani/pedi. No way those inferior loser states gonna take #1 from us. don't mess with Texas!