Brewha
3 years ago

We've gone over this before brew. Mustang/Shelby ownership is a lifelong dream of mine. If the Mach E weren't a chitty crossover SUV I might be tempted

Sunoverbeach wrote:


I hope you like the car when you get it.
I liked mine.
MACS
3 years ago

We've gone over this before brew. Mustang/Shelby ownership is a lifelong dream of mine. If the Mach E weren't a chitty crossover SUV I might be tempted

Sunoverbeach wrote:



My neighbor has a Shelby GT500. Pretty sure it's a 2014. White with blue stripes. LOUD.

Took me for a ride... FAST, too.
Abrignac
3 years ago

50% increase? 100% increase?

Someone did not do their math home work……

But go ahead and just make sh1t up. Cause your FREEDOM in in the line!

Brewha wrote:



No you didn’t do your homework which is why you keep making sh1t up. I suggest you reread my post and apply your mathematical skills.
Brewha
3 years ago

That is correct. Most homes have 200 amp service panels. Costs a couple thousand to upgrade. But, I don’t know of any power grid in the US that could accommodate a 50% increase in demand which is what it would take to power a household charging just one EV. If we mandate out all fossil fuel vehicles then we’re talking a demand increase of at least 100% or more considering most households regularly operate AT LEAST two vehicles.

Damn the torpedoes, full speed ahead.

Abrignac wrote:




Ok AB, what a, I missing here?

How does household demand increase by 50% for one EV?

When you say "demand" is that in kWh per month? Full load amps?

Homes with 200 amps service do not use 200 amps continuously - especially at night - if ever.
In fact if you add up all the circuit breakers in your panel they commonly exceed 200 amps. The engineer that originally designed the building and electrical system understood that the loads were intermittent, and very unlikely to be maxed out at the same time.

I have been exclusively charging my EV at home - off of 150 amp service - with no upgrade to the house and no problems. In fact, my electric bill only barely went up. I have an existing clothes dryer wall plug. NEMA 14-30, 30 amps @ 240v. Charges my car at 22 miles per hour. So like 260 miles of range overnight (6pm-6am).

Adding 30 or 50 amp served to you home "might" mean upgrading the base service - but it is not likely.
I did not need to.
Brewha
3 years ago
Anthony,

In fairness I should be more polite about this.

30+ years I have been an engineer, and even I had to check a reference and do some math before I knew an EV would be no problem.
It sounds like power a home does not have - but it doesn't work like that.

As I said, I do it on 150 amp service. In a 3 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath home with a pool and 2 HVAC units. A bit over 2,500 sq/ft in the Texas heat.

Even with 2 EV's, you don't charge during the day when your using lots of power. And you don't often need to change from empty. Charging an EV at home is about like using an electric clothes dryer or your oven. Your home as that power - especially overnight.

And if you need fast charging, you spend 15-20 minutes at a 3 phase, 480 volt charger. Sorry - homes just don't get 3 phase power.

When I did the math on my home, it was apparent that the changes I had been doing made it a no brainer. Loosing incandescent and florescent lighting, having HVAC with a much higher SEER rating, and so on - I really don't need 200 amps of service. 200 amps is based on 20th century calculations - and we are not there anymore.




I guess it pizzes me off to hear so many people say the technology is not ready, or that it won't work. But then again, we are talking about where we will be in 10-20 years. But it works great for me - today.
Sunoverbeach
3 years ago

My neighbor has a Shelby GT500. Pretty sure it's a 2014. White with blue stripes. LOUD.

Took me for a ride... FAST, too.

MACS wrote:


Last model year Carroll had a direct hand in before his death. That's my second choice. Still aiming for the GT350 which runs about the same cost as the '14 500. New 500s are awesome, but like 50-60% more and not a manual amongst them
Brewha
3 years ago
Would it offend you if I said “donut machine”?
Sunoverbeach
3 years ago
Nah, that's crazy talk. I'm sure with 660hp ('14) and 760hp ('20), everyone treats them with nothing but the utmost care and respect.
Brewha
3 years ago
Sorry to say that have a presents on YouTube.
Lots of people that don’t know how to control that kind of power.
And throttle off snap oversteer is a bitch - voice of experience here….
Sunoverbeach
3 years ago
Yeah, I've seen 'em. Some equate that to Mustang owners can't drive. Truth is stupidity exists through all models. And slamming the throttle on cold tires after a show is stupid
Abrignac
3 years ago

Anthony,

In fairness I should be more polite about this.

30+ years I have been an engineer, and even I had to check a reference and do some math before I knew an EV would be no problem.
It sounds like power a home does not have - but it doesn't work like that.

As I said, I do it on 150 amp service. In a 3 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath home with a pool and 2 HVAC units. A bit over 2,500 sq/ft in the Texas heat.

Even with 2 EV's, you don't charge during the day when your using lots of power. And you don't often need to change from empty. Charging an EV at home is about like using an electric clothes dryer or your oven. Your home as that power - especially overnight.

And if you need fast charging, you spend 15-20 minutes at a 3 phase, 480 volt charger. Sorry - homes just don't get 3 phase power.

When I did the math on my home, it was apparent that the changes I had been doing made it a no brainer. Loosing incandescent and florescent lighting, having HVAC with a much higher SEER rating, and so on - I really don't need 200 amps of service. 200 amps is based on 20th century calculations - and we are not there anymore.




I guess it pizzes me off to hear so many people say the technology is not ready, or that it won't work. But then again, we are talking about where we will be in 10-20 years. But it works great for me - today.

Brewha wrote:



You’re good Scott. I know you’re passionate about your beliefs. What I was alluding to was the reality of what would be required to support a world without petroleum powered automobiles.

Here is my logic. Most homes have at least 2 vehicles. In today’s world most households have at least two wage earners.

During the pandemic many office jobs transitioned to remote. However, many of those workers have returned to brick and mortar locations. Remote work increases costs mostly due to the need for VPN’s not needed in hardwired locations. Especially when a company has a pre-existing fixed real estate cost.

That means that during a 2 to 3 hour period every evening millions of vehicles will be plugging in to recharge for the next day. As a result, there will be a huge increased demand for power during this period. Perhaps a 50-100% increase at this time. After which demand will subside.

To handle such an increase a tremendous upgrade in infrastructure will be required. However, this will be a short window. I wonder if such an upgrade for such a short period be economically feasible.
tailgater
3 years ago

There once was a time when they were considered heroes.

HockeyDad wrote:



That's so early pandemic.
tailgater
3 years ago

Are you sure you went to an engineering school? Because your above problem is not, well…engineered.

Most people charge at home and don’t need to get “gas” on the road. Now in the future a Bucky’s or a Love’s truck stop is going to look a bit different. In year to come.

I have 150 amp service at home. I use a 30 amp/240 volt plug in the garage to get a full tank every night.
If I need more/faster I would go to a 480 volt super charge and get a cup of coffee. Doesn’t happen often. In fact it’s never happened.

Brewha wrote:


It's never happened. Probably because they practically don't exist.
Or is it they don't exist, practially?

And forget engineering. You would flunk common sense. Or maybe just plain comprehension.
My scenario was very clearly aimed at long distance driving.
I'll provide pictures next time. You can review them while waiting for your hypothetical super charging station.
(I think Elon Musk has taken more people into space then have used those things. But hey. we've got 13 years...)



tailgater
3 years ago

2022:
Right now - most people can't get and EV. The big three have just begun tooling up.
Right now home charging is hit and miss based on where you live. To upgrade your home might cost a lot, or nothing.
Right now EV's are not a practical choice for many apartment dwellers.

2035 - 13 years hence:
Auto manufactures have had EV modules for sale for more than 10 years.
Home and apartments have long had 240 volt wall plugs (exactly like for a cloth dryer) designed in or retrofitted because of the cost and convenience factor.
People who don't want and EV either buy a new PHEV or keep their ICE car.

Now - Then - and Beyond:
People living in a van down by the river still get screwed.

Brewha wrote:



13 years.
Apartments will have 240V wall plugs. (although I've always thought of them as 220/221, whatever it takes).

OK Mr. "infrastructure appears in an instant". In 13 years, you think that every apartment will have at least one 240V plug for every unit.
Even if that proves to be true, what about families with more than one vehicle?
My son lives in Boston. His apartment doesn't have a lot. He gets a permit and parks on the street.
Will all the legal parking spots have these magic outlets? At 240V each?
But forget about the volts. It's the amps that matter when designing the infrastructure. How many amps will we be feeding? At night (when folks are home). With their AC on. Or their soon-to-be-mandated ELECTRIC heat in the winter.

This 13 year vision looks eerily similar to Disney's Tron.
Maybe if dear old Nicoli Tesla had won the war, we'd be able to embrace his wireless concept. But our ac/dc method can't possibly be upgraded to that degree in 13 years.
Hell, maybe never.

But you do love your mandates.


Brewha
3 years ago

You’re good Scott. I know you’re passionate about your beliefs. What I was alluding to was the reality of what would be required to support a world without petroleum powered automobiles.

Here is my logic. Most homes have at least 2 vehicles. In today’s world most households have at least two wage earners.

During the pandemic many office jobs transitioned to remote. However, many of those workers have returned to brick and mortar locations. Remote work increases costs mostly due to the need for VPN’s not needed in hardwired locations. Especially when a company has a pre-existing fixed real estate cost.

That means that during a 2 to 3 hour period every evening millions of vehicles will be plugging in to recharge for the next day. As a result, there will be a huge increased demand for power during this period. Perhaps a 50-100% increase at this time. After which demand will subside.

To handle such an increase a tremendous upgrade in infrastructure will be required. However, this will be a short window. I wonder if such an upgrade for such a short period be economically feasible.

Abrignac wrote:


Keeping in mind that we are looking at a decades long transition, the number are more favorable that they might seem.

The concern with the power grid is peak load. It can run at full gain 24-7, but when everybody needs to much at once, say 4 to 6 pm, well that’s the problem we have today. If everyone ran their clothes dryer from 10pm to 6am, it’s really not an issue - today.

It is far cleaner and more efficient to charge cars from a power plant that have them burn gas. Thus the mandates in CA.

The power grid has been expanding constantly over the last hundreds years - based on projected need. And yes - EV’s or no, we will need a hell of a lot more going forward. This is why we push for multiple sources of power and dynamic storage.
I think we are up to it.
tailgater
3 years ago

Anthony,

In fairness I should be more polite about this.

30+ years I have been an engineer, and even I had to check a reference and do some math before I knew an EV would be no problem.
It sounds like power a home does not have - but it doesn't work like that.

As I said, I do it on 150 amp service. In a 3 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath home with a pool and 2 HVAC units. A bit over 2,500 sq/ft in the Texas heat.

Even with 2 EV's, you don't charge during the day when your using lots of power. And you don't often need to change from empty. Charging an EV at home is about like using an electric clothes dryer or your oven. Your home as that power - especially overnight.

And if you need fast charging, you spend 15-20 minutes at a 3 phase, 480 volt charger. Sorry - homes just don't get 3 phase power.

When I did the math on my home, it was apparent that the changes I had been doing made it a no brainer. Loosing incandescent and florescent lighting, having HVAC with a much higher SEER rating, and so on - I really don't need 200 amps of service. 200 amps is based on 20th century calculations - and we are not there anymore.




I guess it pizzes me off to hear so many people say the technology is not ready, or that it won't work. But then again, we are talking about where we will be in 10-20 years. But it works great for me - today.

Brewha wrote:




I'm sold.
Let's mandate.


The technology is there: for many. Yet you refuse to accept that many others actually drive long distances.
It works for you. Excellent. I already told you I'm jealous. But it doesn't work for me. It doesn't work for most.
And a decade+ of poorly thought-out infrastructure won't change that.

Look at how fast this technology is growing. Should we have built infrastructure around the technology of 13 years ago?
Because that's what we'll be looking back upon.




Brewha
3 years ago

It's never happened. Probably because they practically don't exist.
Or is it they don't exist, practially?

And forget engineering. You would flunk common sense. Or maybe just plain comprehension.
My scenario was very clearly aimed at long distance driving.
I'll provide pictures next time. You can review them while waiting for your hypothetical super charging station.
(I think Elon Musk has taken more people into space then have used those things. But hey. we've got 13 years...)

tailgater wrote:


Tail!
Glad to see you again showing yours.

Looking at my phone now…the nearest Supercharger station is 10.2 miles away with 2 of 12 station available (there is a great BBQ place next to the station in Grapevine)
At 11.4 miles is 5 of 10 available - slow night in Southlake.
Denton, 12 miles, dead’s as always has 3 of 6 available.
Plano is 13 miles
Dallas 21
Well you get the idea.

But long rang driving - looks like station every 50 miles or so in any direction. Prolly not so good if you live in BF.

Now in fairness, when I go long rang I usually hop a plane.
Brewha
3 years ago

13 years.
Apartments will have 240V wall plugs. (although I've always thought of them as 220/221, whatever it takes).

OK Mr. "infrastructure appears in an instant". In 13 years, you think that every apartment will have at least one 240V plug for every unit.
Even if that proves to be true, what about families with more than one vehicle?
My son lives in Boston. His apartment doesn't have a lot. He gets a permit and parks on the street.
Will all the legal parking spots have these magic outlets? At 240V each?
But forget about the volts. It's the amps that matter when designing the infrastructure. How many amps will we be feeding? At night (when folks are home). With their AC on. Or their soon-to-be-mandated ELECTRIC heat in the winter.

This 13 year vision looks eerily similar to Disney's Tron.
Maybe if dear old Nicoli Tesla had won the war, we'd be able to embrace his wireless concept. But our ac/dc method can't possibly be upgraded to that degree in 13 years.
Hell, maybe never.

But you do love your mandates.


tailgater wrote:


13 years is when they stop selling ICE in California.

Whaddaya think the year you can’t can buy a band new ICE car all other ICE cars vanish?
I got a buddy with a ‘70 Chevelle - how old is that?
Ok, maybe for you a car only last 12 months - bummer.

Riddle me this; does a 120 volt circuit and a 240 volt circuit both rated at 15 amps have the same power?
No sir, it is the watts that matter, not the amps. Come on, you know that (remember your engineering).

Picture and apartment block, each apartment with it’s own clothes dryer - and they all dry at once.
apocalypse, right?

Right so in Tron 2035, apartments have a clothes dryer plugs for their parking spots. Is that kind of futuristic technology even possible??? Guess we will find out.


Btw - loved the tesla ac/dc war comment.
tailgater
3 years ago



Riddle me this; does a 120 volt circuit and a 240 volt circuit both rated at 15 amps have the same power?
No sir, it is the watts that matter, not the amps. Come on, you know that (remember your engineering).
.

Brewha wrote:



The house is rated at 200 amps 120V.
If every appliance in your home were 240V you'd only be rated for 100 amps with the same service.

That's why a typical panel will require two slots for the breaker on a 240 line, instead of just the one.


You don't need to be an engineer to know this.
tailgater
3 years ago

Tail!
Glad to see you again showing yours.

Looking at my phone now…the nearest Supercharger station is 10.2 miles away with 2 of 12 station available (there is a great BBQ place next to the station in Grapevine)
At 11.4 miles is 5 of 10 available - slow night in Southlake.
Denton, 12 miles, dead’s as always has 3 of 6 available.
Plano is 13 miles
Dallas 21
Well you get the idea.

But long rang driving - looks like station every 50 miles or so in any direction. Prolly not so good if you live in BF.


Brewha wrote:



Sounds like a fun drive. Honey, you drive while I figure out where we're going based on these superchargers. Romantic.

And you still don't get it. You don't have to sell me on the technology. It's the mandate I oppose. And will do so with great fervor. Partly because the infrastructure literally doesn't exist. And it won't in 13 years.
CA has been trying to improve their electrical infrastructure for well over a decade. And what have we got? Brown outs and power cable forest fires. Even without the plug in EV's to worry about.

So what are you saying? that NOW it will be different?
LOL! Not even you can believe that.

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