wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:13:18 PM
The Ham Sandwich is leading in the polls now

wheel,

Brewha
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:17:23 PM
Mitt Romney? A ham sammie?

heh, that rhymes.

Oh, wait – the poles have shifted back.

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:29:03 PM

Mitt Romney? A ham sammie?

heh, that rhymes.

Oh, wait – the poles have shifted back.

Brewha wrote:

Naw,,

The Polls traditionally reflect real opinion the last couple weeks of a campaign rather than trying to influence opinion, which they try to do in the months and weeks before ...

The Pollsters are businessmen and need a kernel of credibility so they get paid in the next cycle...

rfenst
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:35:51 PM
Evening news had a couple polls (NBC and one other) Both had Obama up by 1-3%, in popular vote.

Took a good look at Rasmussen's daily poll today and it seems that Romney is now slightly ahead in Florida and has made up some ground in Ohio. All within the margins of error. Looks like Michigan still rejects Romney.

IIRC, only 2% of the popular vote is undecided. But, the real analysis to look at is of the electoral college, which is still not sufficiently predictable for analysis.

Having written all that, I think it will be over for Obama after tomorrow night if he doesn't show well. If he does show well, he will improve in the polls and gain more votes, but not enough to call the election a lock like it looked 10-14 days ago. If Romney totally blows Obama away tomorrow night, it is over by the end of the week. the third debate won't mean a thing. Gonna be interesting.

If the election were today, it would be a nail-biter, but i think Obama would eek out a win. All things considered, the economy is the sole issue that controls this election. Historically, Obama should lose as the incumbent during this prolonged, terrible recession (a la Bush1). This is not to take anything away from Romney...

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:41:28 PM

Evening news had a couple polls (NBC and one other) Both had Obama up by 1-3%, in popular vote.

Took a good look at Rasmussen's daily poll today and it seems that Romney is now slightly ahead in Florida and has made up some ground in Ohio. All within the margins of error. Looks like Michigan still rejects Romney.

IIRC, only 2% of the popular vote is undecided. But, the real analysis to look at is of the electoral college, which is still not sufficiently predictable for analysis.

Having written all that, I think it will be over for Obama after tomorrow night if he doesn't show well. If he does show well, he will improve in the polls and gain more votes, but not enough to call the election a lock like it looked 10-14 days ago. If Romney totally blows Obama away tomorrow night, it is over by the end of the week. the third debate won't mean a thing. Gonna be interesting.

If the election were today, it would be a nail-biter, but i think Obama would eek out a win. All things considered, the economy is the sole issue that controls this election. Historically, Obama should lose as the incumbent during this prolonged, terrible recession (a la Bush1). This is not to take anything away from Romney...

rfenst wrote:

The murder and cover up of our diplomats will be the issue in tomorrow's debate

Brewha
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:49:24 PM
I don’t think the ham sammich is Kosher . . . . .
DadZilla3
Monday, October 15, 2012 7:57:58 PM
If the mid-term elections were any indication, the upcoming presidential election will be another debacle for the Democrats.

In this blue-collar union town, I have yet to see even one Obama yard sign. Last presidential election they were all over the place. Not one now. Plenty of Romney/ Ryan signs though.

rfenst
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:23:05 PM

If the mid-term elections were any indication, the upcoming presidential election will be another debacle for the Democrats.

In this blue-collar union town, I have yet to see even one Obama yard sign. Last presidential election they were all over the place. Not one now. Plenty of Romney/ Ryan signs though.

DadZilla3 wrote:

What state?

rfenst
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:25:12 PM

Naw,,

The Polls traditionally reflect real opinion the last couple weeks of a campaign rather than trying to influence opinion, which they try to do in the months and weeks before ...

The Pollsters are businessmen and need a kernel of credibility so they get paid in the next cycle...

wheelrite wrote:

I got four calls this weekend, three of which were Republican/Romney "push polls".

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:30:24 PM

What state?

rfenst wrote:

your state,,,

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:31:23 PM

I got four calls this weekend, three of which were Republican/Romney "push polls".

rfenst wrote:

see,,

only Lawyers and poor libs still have land lines that they chose to answer...

and you live in the most godforsaken part of Florida.

If it weren't for The Mouse, Orlando would still be a smelly swamp...

Brewha
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:38:14 PM

What state?

rfenst wrote:

Infancy?

rfenst
Monday, October 15, 2012 8:39:49 PM

see,,

only Lawyers and poor libs still have land lines that they chose to answer...

and you live in the most godforsaken part of Florida.

If it weren't for The Mouse, Orlando would still be a smelly swamp...

wheelrite wrote:

You are right about Disney. Orange County's original name was Mosquito County...

(But, the historical secret of Orlando is that it used to be very heavily saturated with defense research and product development- and still is- missile control, night vision, OCR, turbines, etc. were developed here.)

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:13:36 PM

You are right about Disney. Orange County's original name was Mosquito County...

(But, the historical secret of Orlando is that it used to be very heavily saturated with defense research and product development- and still is- missile control, night vision, OCR, turbines, etc. were developed here.)

rfenst wrote:

yada yada...

my county was originally land granted to slaves and injuns,,,

Now my burb is one of the fastest growning in the country,,,

what have ya done for me lately ?

:-"

Brewha
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:20:15 PM
Wheel, can I barrow a cup of ego? I’m running low . . .
wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:22:14 PM

Wheel, can I barrow a cup of ego? I’m running low . . .

Brewha wrote:

oh alright,,,

rfenst
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:30:28 PM

yada yada...

my county was originally land granted to slaves and injuns,,,

Now my burb is one of the fastest growning in the country,,,

what have ya done for me lately ?

:-"

wheelrite wrote:

Nothing. Absolutely nothing.

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:32:05 PM

Nothing. Absolutely nothing.

rfenst wrote:

I know. That's what I implied...

Brewha
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:40:08 PM

I know. That's what I implied...

wheelrite wrote:

* returned to the forum without posting *

wheelrite
Monday, October 15, 2012 9:42:06 PM

* returned to the forum without posting *

Brewha wrote:

see !