Trump won the same votes Romney did, people didn’t like Hillary and Bernie isn’t gonna do any better.
ZRX1200 wrote:
it really comes down to how many people vote that normally do not, and where they live. All the people that vote all the time are all set, and have been for decades.
Obama got tons of votes from people all over who normally do not vote, and they returned to that non action when it came to Hillary.
But saying Trump won because people didn't like Hillary is an inaccurate explanation of why he won...because he lost by 3 million real votes, so not liking Hillary is not what happened. The reality is that more liked her than him! Or more disliked him than her...whatever. It's stupid to deny that any longer. (I voted for neither).
Trump's campaign targeted zip codes of those who missed out on the 8 years of recovery the rest of the nation was experiencing (like unemployed/uninsured Rust Belt folks) and got them off the couch and into the polling places...which is what election winners do in the New World.
Trump inspired the unemployed/underemployed non voters the same way as did Obama for previously non voting minorities, but in different electoral areas like the Rust Belt. Each successful candidate made their motivated supporters feel like someone was speaking to and for them.
In my mind, the question is will those same folks who were bypassed before, and have actually been bypassed again when it comes to better lives, sit this one out in despair, vote with the same emotion as they did 4 years ago despite no change in their lives, or decide that it's worth yet another change.
I don't pretend to know. But my personal comfort level has been following the same trajectory as it had been under Obama, no great losses, no miracle improvement since he left office. The key voters who will decide the next winner are those same folks who put Trump in office last time, and if truth be told, did not get to participate in our decade of economic growth.
Are still angry? Are they newly angry? Will they just give up?