A couple of points here. Right now, polls are all over the lot. Partisans of either Kerry or Bush can find validation anywhere. For example, the lastest Harris poll has Bush up 51 to 41 over Kerry.
Second, as Gore found out, we don't elect the President by popular vote. We have yet to see any good polls on who is ahead in the Electoral College.
Finally, Sonny, it must sadden you to know that Louisiana is considered a safe red state for Bush, as it never gets mentioned as a "battleground" state. With tongue firmly in cheek, what do the rest of us know in Louisiana that you don't?