deadeyedick wrote:Looks like most of her beef is with the immigration policies and what they are doing to the local economy. The personal tax rate is over 57% now and expected to go over 61% soon with a sales tax of 25%.
How dare you indeed!
So this is interesting.
I was curious about whether this "immigrants are raping everyone" data was accurate... I mean, it sounds good. It has numbers... those numbers are huge. That should be an easy thing to believe. Hell, the wikipedia page even agrees with the numbers (more about that later).
so here's the big problem.
The swedish police don't collect ethnic or immigration status in rape reports. This is apparently something they decided to do at some time.
So, Victor, without police reports, how could the statistics this nice woman with the nose ring cited be known?
I'm glad you asked. All references to rape by immigrants in sweden tie back to a television show where the reporter claims to have counted all court convictions from 2013 to 2018. Of the 843 convictions, they claim 197 were from the Middle East and North Africa, with 45 coming from Afghanistan. (I don't know how they get the 58% claim from those numbers.... maybe they're bad at math? Or something is missing...)
Anyway... lots of people can see the problem in extrapolating convictions back to crimes, right? Poor people get convicted at a much higher rate than wealthy. Immigrants get convicted at a much higher rate than citizens. And not all of those convictions are correct. The US went through this exact problem a generation or two ago.
Let's do a little math ... population of sweden is 10MM. In 2018, there were about 76 reported rapes per 100k people. That comes to 7600 reported rapes in 2018 alone. over a 5 year period we are looking at about 32,500 reported rapes. And the tv show was attempting to extrapolate from 843 specific convictions.
Apparently statistical mapping of reported rapes by region has indicated that the statement is not accurate. That there isn't an abnormally high amount of rape by immigrants in sweden. But that won't stop people from saying it. Heck, doesn't stop our president from repeating it.
http://politicalviolenceataglance.org/2019/06/24/swedish-report-shows-no-connection-between-immigration-and-rape/