What with the wonderful economy and all? The low gas prices, the great housing market, the debt crisis, the failed "shovel ready" stimulus package. Yeah, there a shoe in for sure.

Harry Reid is co-POTUS? I wish they'd quit changing the gum-o-mint on the fly so I can keep track of the players.

:-k

I'm with the Monger on this. I don't think this debacle is going to carry him back to the White House anymore than getting Bin Laden will.

Long as people are on the street, jobs are being lost, unemployment is running out, gas prices are sky high, home values are in the toilet, no raises, 401Ks are melting down, new taxes are being levied or threatened, traditional entitlements are being cut or threatened to be eliminated - I think the message of "Hope and Change" is officially dead.

This guy is the last of the great bullsh*t talkers who get to skate into the POTUS office solely on feel-good talk with no past record of achievement to back it up. Good talkin' at a "Yes We Can" rally doesn't cut it with the above-mentioned in place. Professional politicians who have never held a real job have lost their shine. We've all gotten the message this time around that magic fairy dust ain't gonna solve some very real, very tough problems.

Yes, I know - they're all BS talkers. But as several governors are proving, you have to take tough stands with the entitlement crowd, zero-liablity voters, unions, senior citizens and other traditional pandering targets to get traction with the mainstream, either Republican or Democrat.

July 14, 2011

"Republican Candidate" Extends Lead vs. Obama to 47% to 39%

Margin marks first statistically significant lead among registered voters - by Jeffrey M. Jones

PRINCETON, NJ -- Registered voters by a significant margin now say they are more likely to vote for the "Republican Party's candidate for president" than for President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, 47% to 39%. Preferences had been fairly evenly divided this year in this test of Obama's re-election prospects.

See all election 2012 data > The latest results are based on a July 7-10 poll, and show that the Republican has an edge for the second consecutive month. Obama held a slight edge in May, when his approval rating increased after the death of Osama bin Laden. As his rating has come back down during the last two months, so has his standing on the presidential "generic ballot."

Gallup typically uses this question format when a president is seeking re-election but his likely opponent is unknown, as was the case in 1991-1992 and 2003-2004, when incumbents George H.W. Bush and George W. Bush, respectively, were seeking re-election.

The elder Bush held large leads over his generic Democratic opponent throughout 1991, but early 1992 preferences were more evenly divided and Bush eventually lost his re-election bid. The younger Bush also consistently maintained at least a small advantage over the Democrat throughout 2003, before winning re-election in a close contest in November 2004.


Thus, the results more than a year ahead of the election do not have a large degree of predictive ability, and underscore that things can change greatly in the final year or more before an election.

Both Bushes had higher job approval ratings in the year before their re-election contests than Obama does now, helping explain why Obama has fared less well on the generic ballot in the year prior to the election year. George H.W. Bush's approval rating in July 1991 averaged 71%, while George W. Bush's July 2003 average was 60%. Obama's latest weekly average is 46%.

Obama Trailing Among Independent Voters

Independent registered voters are currently more likely to vote for the Republican candidate (44%) than for Obama (34%), though one in five do not have an opinion. Republicans and Democrats show strong party loyalty in their vote choices, with Republicans showing somewhat stronger loyalty.


Independents' preferences are similar to what Gallup measured last month, while Republicans' support for the Republican candidate has increased slightly.

Implications

President Obama's re-election prospects do not look very favorable at this point -- if the election were held today, as measured by the generic presidential ballot. However, that result does not necessarily mean he is likely to be denied a second term in November 2012. At this point in 1991, George H.W. Bush looked like a sure bet to win a second term, but he was defeated.

One key factor in determining Obama's eventual electoral fate is whom the Republican Party nominates as its presidential candidate and the appeal that person has compared with Obama. Mitt Romney is the presumptive front-runner, but Americans have generally not held very positive opinions of him the last few years.

The state of the nation will also influence whether Obama is elected to a second term. Right now, Americans are especially dissatisfied with the way things are going in this country, and economic confidence is lagging.

However, the political environment can certainly change in the 16 months leading up to the election, something that occurred during the 1984 and 1996 election cycles (in the incumbent's favor) and 1992 cycle (in the opponent's favor) when incumbent presidents were seeking re-election.


http://www.gallup.com/poll/148487/Republican-Candidate-Extends-Lead-Obama.aspx 


Let's not get in the middle of one of Rick's delusional fantasies though. All the Jell-O you can eat in the dayroom!!!!

+1

It's time government stand behind and work for those who want to work and make a [positive] change rather than those who feel they are entitled to something when they are not. Unfortunately, in current society we give trophies to those who come in last place so I'm not sure things will get much better as we continue to bring kids up with the same sense of entitlement. The government essentially does the same thing. The world needs ditch diggers too ya know.

It's going to be about the economy, stupid!

Well, then Obama better get busy producing results.

The incumbent always has the advantage of being reelected - go with what you know vice the unknown. Will he be reelected?? I think some of you are giving the American public more credit than they deserve. We've elected some real winners over the last 20 years or so and it doesn't have much to do with reality. I'm sure Obama is in the drivers seat no matter what the economy is like. America votes on popularity, feelings, looks, and what is easy. What's worse, neither party has a truly viable candidate that sticks out like a sore thumb. Most potential candidates have so many chinks in their armour that the press will tear them apart and discredit them.

I think the only way we'll ever break this cycle we've been on is to not elect a Republican or Democrat - I think we need to elect someone a little off the beaten path and with a little business sense to get us back on track.

Join the revolution.

Rick how is that? By admitting he was bluffing?

Yeah....I was expecting the news actors to be talking big victory and mission accomplished. Nadda.

So when Obama wins again and if the Dems take both houses how will people like Rick find a way to blame Republicans?

If every single seat in both houses went blue for Obamas second term Rick would still post about Bush and Palin.

Happened in 2009 & 2010

all true. none of it will happen

*disclaimer. Im drunk


point numero uno. People already forgot about obama killing osama bin laden with his bare hands.

pointo numero duo. **** obama

poinito numbero tersi. <-- is that 3?

point 4. obama isnt that popular last time i checked.

Rick

I would like to know what planet you live on..........Please send me your snailer,I got some wake the f*ck up pills you need to add to your daily diet.


In my best cajun accent...."IT'S THE ECONOMY STUPID".

Ron

Ya know, Rick, my FIL suffered from dementia, shortly before his passing. He didn't have any grip on reality, but he sure was happy in his fantasy world.

.


OBAMA IS




FINISHED !