http://www.campusreform.org/blog/?ID=4435
Well, looks like the popular vote is Romney's to lose... 77% chance of winning it at this time.
Most interesting thing about this model is that it largely ignores all the political noise around the election, and just focuses on the current situation. The fact that it's always accurate is an indication that all this crap we are suffering through is meaningless.
victor809 wrote: