I keep seeing the figure of 30%. That’s the % of voters who are MAGA Trumpers, or whatever term you choose. It’s a safe bet, I think, that those voters will not vote Democrat regardless. But will they come out to vote if Trump doesn’t run? I think it’s a safe bet that they will turn out to vote “against” the Democrats. As for the % of Never-Trump, I’m not familiar with any estimates. I’d be glad to hear a reliable source. I think a great portion of Democrat voters could be considered Never-Trump but how many of those would fall into the swing vote category with a different candidate from GOP who is less offensive to their political sensitivities? Trump is the nominee and barring a personal tragedy, he will be the one on the ticket IMHO. The only change with a remote possibility of realization is the DNC replacing Biden. I don’t think that is likely, especially at this late hour. I think it would discredit the DNC. Some may think this would give the DNC a boost of credibility. Perhaps it would but I don’t think so.
Are we looking at VP selection as the next most important thing in this race? Will it cause waves to oust the Black Woman Progressive who traditionally, as VP, would be heir apparent to DNC leadership following a two term President? Or is the next debate going to make a huge difference? I suppose if Trump does more poorly than he did last night and Biden knocks his socks off, that could make a difference. I don’t see that happening. What are possible happenings for an October surprise?
jeebling wrote:
