I heard an economist on the radio (writes for Business Week) about the Japanese automakers.
Their sales in the US have dropped by something like 20 - 30%.
Their sales in Japan have dropped by 30%.
Next year, Japanese auto analysts ate forecasting that Toyota will lose $8 billion. Anyone who knows how the Japanese do business realizes their their government will step in and bail-out their business.
If you think things are bad now, let GM and Chrysler go under. What you'll get will be close to the Great Depression, as well as the loss of a major chunk of our manufacturing sector. And with the ungodly amounts of regulations on automobiles these days, it would take billions of dollars to create a new domestic auto start-up. No one in their right mind would sink that kind of money into a new domestic automaker.
With only Ford left, it will be very easy for foreign auto companies - who are almost exclusively backed by their governments - to go into the hole a couple of years to run Ford out of the US auto market.
That's how they got market penetration in the first place.
But what I find more discouraging is not the prospect of an automaker bail-out, but the fact that people criticize this bail-out without having any other viable alternative.
Bankruptcy may fix prospects for the near future, but it won't increase auto sales (people are not walking away from domestic automobiles, they buying less automobiles period).