DrafterX
10 years ago
The problem is all inside your head
She said to me..
The answer is easy if you
Take it logically.... :-" :-"
tailgater
10 years ago

Funny. The big box stores killed Main Street stores and everyone was upset. The replaced live able wage jobs with minimum. Now I guess we accept that as part of evolution. As long as the next great thing doesn't kill the big box stores etc etc.

Some fought against the industrial revolution. We are in another one..... Different name, different type but it's here

As for minimum wage hike you'll never hear me arguing for it, but the arguments against it are incoherent at best. If a robot can replace a human at a job the difference between 8/hour and 15/hour likely won't drive that decision at all. There is a calculation but the robot will likely be more expensive short term and cheaper long term. SAMs are testing sample machines now.

I'm not arguing anything at with anyone. Things are changing. Get on the bus.

teedubbya wrote:



For large companies (think Ford or GM) you may be right.
But for small and medium manufacturers the difference between $8 and $15 per hour absolutely will have a dramatic impact on switching to automation.
It's a simple cost of man-hours, and doubling that cost justifies automation sooner rather than later.


DrafterX
10 years ago
I still wonder what the people who worked hard for years & years to earn $15 an hour think about this... Surely their hourly rate didn't double too.... 😟
banderl
10 years ago

Dude
Anything can be purchased online. The fact is that many people purchase online to avoid the state and local sales tax involved. I'm not even going to mention some of the online cigar retailers that turn over their clients for taxes to be collected by the states from which they buy from. Online purchases will change once the guberment insitututes taxes to be paid on all online purchases, which is already happening. It's the only reason I buy cigars (just one product) online. In CO there's over 40% sin tax placed on all toabacco products. That's what makes a Padron 2000 Maduro that used to cost me $4.00 in PA cost $10 in Colorado. When there's not a B&M or local business within 300 miles of your area you have no choice but to purchase online. From what I understand there are many States that institute even higher sin taxes

Can retailers (big or small) afford to pay people $15/hr to stand around and serve as "Sales Representatives" of their business. Say all you want about the politics and business practices of companies like Target and Walmart. But when they are a local business in your area and employ hundreds within your community, you have to consider the "big store" as a local business. When a business like Walmart or Sports Authority closes in your town, local people suffer. There's not only the loss of jobs, but the loss of taxes being collected by the local town. There's not only the lack of need to employee those folks who serve you, but also the lack of taxes and income in the community that results in the need to increase local taxes. My town has a local airport that serves the Vail Valley. But regardless of whether there was increase in the tourism and flights to our area, as a result of the drop in fuel prices and the reduction in taxes collected on that fuel, our town faced a 3% increase in Sales Tax. An increase of 3% in sales tax is huge in any respect and anywhere you live. We are facing almost an 11% Sales Tax. Is that what you support? After having to pay the federal gubermant almost 30% of my income in federal taxes, I sure as fuq don't want to pay another 11% in local sales tax. Do you get it now???

NO. I don't think the closures where only in States with minimum wage increases. Open your eyes. The trend to replace minimum wage workers is happening all over our Country and World. Drive into a fast food restaurant, have your order taken by a computer kiosk, then have it prepared by a robotic processing system to cook and wrap your food to go. Moving to an online system where all orders are proecessed by a "robotic" system does not create jobs.

I would rather have a Sears, Target, or Walmart in our town/community than a "fullfillment center" filled with employing illegal immigrants to process orders received through an online ordering system. Press 1 for English!

If you don't understand that raising the minimum wage, a minimum wage that was institued in in the late '30's by FDR to protect young adolescent workers from being tasked advantage of... then that's on you. Minimum wage was never intended to serve as a "living wage".

If you're not happy with your minimum wage job, earn a better one.

---

Hoping banderl forgives any misspellings or grammatical errors. Not looking forward to a semantical argument.
It is what it is. Without evening mentioning the cost of Obamacare to employees or their employers.

cacman wrote:



Go eff yourself, you whiny bitch.
teedubbya
10 years ago
Tail I agree with you on the timing but I think it's a matter of prolonging the inevitable anyway. Maybe it's good to encourage automation and efficiencies. Competition breeds such things and I'm for it.

I don't care if a human hands me a Big Mac or if it shoots out of a machine. It sucks either way.

As for minimum wage I don't care about the issue. I'm certainly not for a fed action but states/localities can do whatever their people want.

In the end automation
victor809
10 years ago
Cacman, where did I ever defend a minimum wage? You're not even arguing with what I said, just what you think I said....

Tail... Given how computers and robotics drop in price significantly once they have made it out into the marketplace, it seems likely that once the big box stores are able to afford automation assistance, it wouldn't be long before prices drop enough that smaller stores can. Sure, the prevailing wage will impact when the trigger is pulled, but it will still happen.
banderl
10 years ago

Holy crap?


I have to keep reminding myself that Liberalism is a mental disorder....

Carib1 wrote:




Says the guys who states that SRV was better than Hendrix.
Talk about mental disorders.
DrafterX
10 years ago
When Oregon Governor Kate Brown signed a minimum wage bill into law in March, it was the highest statewide wage floor in the U.S. It was also the most convoluted, setting three different wages and raise schedules depending on the area's population. ‎

Wages will rise to $12.50 in rural Oregon, $13.50 in mid-size regions and $14.75 in greater Portland, all by the year 2022.

But before the ink was even dry, Democrats, who control the state House, Senate and governor's office, announced they wanted to change the bill that was rammed through in a five-week legislative session despite fierce Republican opposition.

"They just wanted to pass something," said economist Eric Fruits, a Portland Republican. "They were really worried about the 15 Now people sending something to the ballot, and I think they got so snakebit they would have passed anything that was called a minimum wage increase."

Labor unions, spearheaded by the S.E.I.U., had been collecting signatures for a $15 statewide wage initiative and hoping to build on recent victories in several cities.

But Oregon Democrats acted before state economists even had a chance to weigh in. Last week, state analysts concluded in a prepared forecast the high wage will "result in approximately 40,000 fewer jobs in 2025 than would have been the case absent the legislation."

Orchard owner John Zielinski said his family business will‎ take a big hit.

"When those pears and apples are sold on the market, they're not going to give us any more money because we're from Oregon and have a higher pay rate," said Zielinski of E.Z. Orchards.

Rural counties threatened to file a lawsuit against the state, calling the minimum wage a maximum mess and an unfunded mandate. Oregon's constitution allows local governments to opt out of state programs that raise costs significantly and are not funded by the legislature.

Hearing the outcry, Democratic leaders quickly admitted they may have messed up. They promised a fix-it bill next year allowing for a lower training wages for young workers and some new hires.

But not everyone in the party or the public is onboard with the proposed changes. Low wage worker activists and some Democrats fear a loophole that will be abused.

"I think having a sub-minimum wage, while it might sound good, could end up hurting the very people we're trying to help," said Democratic state Senator Diane Rosenbaum.

Republican leaders support the fixes, including a possible exemption for some Eastern Oregon farmers who, if nothing changes, will have to pay $5 more per hour for labor than their competitors across the state line in Idaho.

Film at 11.... 😟



I wonder if Tillamook Cheese will go up too..?? 😕
stogiefan
10 years ago

Funny. The big box stores killed Main Street stores and everyone was upset. The replaced live able wage jobs with minimum. Now I guess we accept that as part of evolution. As long as the next great thing doesn't kill the big box stores etc etc.

Some fought against the industrial revolution. We are in another one..... Different name, different type but it's here

As for minimum wage hike you'll never hear me arguing for it, but the arguments against it are incoherent at best. If a robot can replace a human at a job the difference between 8/hour and 15/hour likely won't drive that decision at all. There is a calculation but the robot will likely be more expensive short term and cheaper long term. SAMs are testing sample machines now.

I'm not arguing anything at with anyone. Things are changing. Get on the bus.

teedubbya wrote:



A coherent argument against minimum wage hikes is very simple. There are a number of menial jobs out there that no matter how proficiently performed cannot yield enough value added labor to justify these double-digit minimum wage hike suggestions. The effect of this is that those that fall below this threshold will no longer be employable because their labor cannot sustain the amount that their employment would cost their employer.

Brewha
10 years ago

A coherent argument against minimum wage hikes is very simple. There are a number of menial jobs out there that no matter how proficiently performed cannot yield enough value added labor to justify these double-digit minimum wage hike suggestions. The effect of this is that those that fall below this threshold will no longer be employable because their labor cannot sustain the amount that their employment would cost their employer.

stogiefan wrote:


Not just very simple - too simple.
So if stocking a shelf at Walmart in not worth a living wage, Walmart is just . . . Close down?
victor809
10 years ago
You've arbitrarily defined what a living wage is. That's not any different than stogie fans simplification.

Why is the wage rate you define the amount of money any person deserves to do any job?
Brewha
10 years ago

Holy crap?


I have to keep reminding myself that Liberalism is a mental disorder....

Carib1 wrote:


I would imagine that from your protective most of the world seems like a mental disorder.....

But that is prolly the stress of living a country utterly destroyed by the Govmut, no jobs to be found, and most all of your freedoms gone.

You know they are coming for your guns next - don't you?
Brewha
10 years ago

You've arbitrarily defined what a living wage is. That's not any different than stogie fans simplification.

Why is the wage rate you define the amount of money any person deserves to do any job?

victor809 wrote:


Ok Vic, do you agree with the government option on the poverty line?
Or do you think there is not standard of living we would/should call a "living"?
victor809
10 years ago
I think you've framed it very conveniently, but not necessarily accurately.
You assume all jobs must pay enough that a person doing the work won't require government assistance. But not all people are in the same situation. The young and the old, people who are dependents on other tax payers and just want to do some work.

Even when dealing with head of household, you try to phrase the argument that the government is subsidizing the corporation by providing assistance to people who are doing low paying work. But really we are subsidizing people who don't have the competency to do work worth that amount.
Brewha
10 years ago

I think you've framed it very conveniently, but not necessarily accurately.
You assume all jobs must pay enough that a person doing the work won't require government assistance. But not all people are in the same situation. The young and the old, people who are dependents on other tax payers and just want to do some work.

Even when dealing with head of household, you try to phrase the argument that the government is subsidizing the corporation by providing assistance to people who are doing low paying work. But really we are subsidizing people who don't have the competency to do work worth that amount.

victor809 wrote:


I was using Walmart as an example. Please give me and example of the full time job that will never be worth a living wage.

Maybe you don't agree, but I think medium and large buisness need to support their communities.
victor809
10 years ago
Easy. Greeters.
Do you honestly think the value of a Walmart greeter is 15$/hr? How much would you pay someone to stand at your door and say hi?
victor809
10 years ago
How about data entry? Literally someone who has to look at a number or an address or something on paper and type the same thing into a predefined field in a program. Possibly the most mind numbing work possible. Also something which requires almost no skill at all, and the value is just that the data is in an electronic format.

How about cleaning staff? Sure, cleaning has a value, but the more expensive it is, the less value cleanliness has. Suddenly instead of having the floors mopped nightly it's every other night, and the people performing the task get less work.
Speyside
10 years ago
The government is creating an artificial value. I have not been able to find a study about the actual cost increase of a minimum wage of $15/hour. Does this add 1% to poduct costs? If so this would have no noticeable effect on employment. Does it add %20 to product costs. If so the effect on employment would be catastrophic. I am not sure how one would figure this out. The only stories out there provide anecdotal information. So I find there is not enough information to make an informed decision on minimum wage.
tailgater
10 years ago



Tail... Given how computers and robotics drop in price significantly once they have made it out into the marketplace, it seems likely that once the big box stores are able to afford automation assistance, it wouldn't be long before prices drop enough that smaller stores can. Sure, the prevailing wage will impact when the trigger is pulled, but it will still happen.

victor809 wrote:



Not sure where you're going with this, or if it was meant for me.

Different types of businesses gain efficiencies differently. Price drops occur for many different reasons. The biggest difference between most small vs. large business within the same sector is an ability to absorb market shifts.
Raw materials go up for 6 months? The large company has inventory capacity and longer term contract pricing.
Wages spike? A workforce of 500 can be pared down easier than a workforce of 5.
Automation is easier to justify on order volumes in the millions vs. order volumes in the thousands.

It's not an unfair advantage. Small business offer a lot that a big guy can't.
It's just that a wage increase (the subject at hand) impacts the small shop exponentially more.

Keeping with the fast food analogy:
McDonalds might invent a robot cashier and burger flipper.
Do you think my brother's sandwich shop in Boston could justify one?
tailgater
10 years ago

The government is creating an artificial value. I have not been able to find a study about the actual cost increase of a minimum wage of $15/hour. Does this add 1% to poduct costs? If so this would have no noticeable effect on employment. Does it add %20 to product costs. If so the effect on employment would be catastrophic. I am not sure how one would figure this out. The only stories out there provide anecdotal information. So I find there is not enough information to make an informed decision on minimum wage.

Speyside wrote:



Simple markets respond more directly to such input.
Henry Ford changed America. Not by building cars, but by building affordable cars and paying his employees more so they could purchase them.

In today's America, you have to eliminate those who wouldn't be impacted:
The top 10%.
And Mitt Romney's 45% that are on government assistance.

At the end of the day I unabashedly ignore my obvious bias and state that small business will be impacted disproportionately.
Massachusetts minimum wage is at $10.
My company can't keep workers at $12 plus benefits. I'm talking about glorified floor sweepers.
What happens when the minimum wage reaches $12?

We're talking about good people who have zero work ethic. Some work only long enough to go back on the government teet. And they know precisely how many hours that is, believe me.
And now we want to give them a federally mandated raise??

Sorry.
Off my soapbox.
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