Trump never explained why it was a bad deal, other than that we've paid Iran upfront and there is nothing to prevent them from resuming nuclear acquisition and preparation when the deal expires in ten years. All the experts say the inspections have been working and Iran seems to be keeping up it's part of the bargain.
Trump has based his agenda almost exclusively to undo Obama's accomplishments, good or bad, and many pointed to the Iran deal as a major foreign policy achievement by the previous President. Is that a legitimate reason to move the world closer to war than to peace?
Ten years is a long time to work out additional agreements to contain the threat using diplomacy and subtle pressure, while waiting out the old Iranian mullahs who are currently in power. (funny how old men closer to death all over the world, make decisions that will lead to the premature deaths of young innocent people) There continues to be a huge portion of the Iranian population, mostly young and well-educated who are still pro-west/democracy. Diplomacy and business/education exchanges have historically been preferred ways to democratize a country. This decision may have just put those pro-democracy people in jeopardy, or at least drive them away from us.
The other people that this decision puts at risk are innocent Israelis. Iran has the capability to respond to use of Israeli force and can launch weapons into Israel. Israel pushed the US into reneging on the deal so that there would be an excuse to exercise their military options, to satisfy Israel's desire to punish Iran for reasons that go way back, beyond Iran's potential nuclear capability threat. With the US clearly locked in with the Israeli position, Israel can go to their preferred solution: military force against Iran. To dramatize that point, Israel bombed an Iranian military base in Syria within hours of Trump's announcement. The little dog's tail is wagging the big dog.
Who and how will the US enforce all the sanctions, and how effective will they be? We aren't the only ones doing big business in Iran, and all the other players say they'll stick with the deal, effectively watering down any solo US sanctions that might take hold. Boeing may lose $20 billion in business due to sanctions, so US businesses doing business in Iran and citizens who may have been employed by those companies will pay a price.
Meanwhile, with the US out and the inspectors presumably out, will Iran resume its nuclear acquisition activities...yes...
Will that cause more upheaval and uncertainty in the ME...yes...
will Israel intensify military action against Iran...yes...
will that lead to a larger conflagration in the Middle East that will drag us into war there once again........................
People usually don't flee from peace...will there be another surge of displaced people who will flood into safe havens all over the world............
Edited by user
8 years ago |
Reason: Not specified